GBP/USD: Technical Analysis

GBP/USD : Technical Analysis

Hi again… Weds. 5th May 2010.

I’ve decided to use the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo overlay on today’s chart a) because I’d like to keep these articles varied and interesting, b) it’s an “at a glance” reading by definition (or at least by translation) and c) because I thoroughly enjoy debating with my spell checker lol!

Looking at the daily graph below, the Tenkan-Sen is clearly in a downward movement showing a trend. the T-S crossed over the K-S from above, showing a sell signal, while the Chikou Span is at or below the current price, another good selling signal. The Kumo is thick, showing quite high volatility in this pair and, with the price dropping into the cloud, shows some support is expected.

Shorts are in play and price has now managed to push through the double hourly lows at 1.5212. Hourly studies are bearish and show risk for further weakness. Daily charts remain bearish in favor of the trade and the MACD is showing good separation while traveling south.

Tenkan-Sen Blue

Kijun-Sen Red

Chikou-Span Cyan

Senkou span A Green

Senkou span B Yellow

The cloud, known as the Kumo, is the space between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B.

Position SHORT

Current 1.5101

Target 1.5000

Stops 1.5300
The most active day is Thurs (31% TM)
81% of trends occur between 01:00 and 13:00.
39% TM begins at 05:00

A scalpers Disclaimer
A profitable strategy is useless without discipline
Many traders end up losing money because they fail to make trades that meet their own criteria.
“Plan the trade and trade the plan” …. Success is impossible without discipline.

Nature does not hurry, yet everything is accomplished. (Lao Tzu)

— May all your PIPS be profitable
Mike Griffiths

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